Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anderson Silva enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Anderson Silva is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Derek Brunson has lost 86% of fights by KO.
- Derek Brunson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Anderson Silva has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Derek Brunson has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anderson SilvaL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Michael Bisping · Feb 16L
vs Daniel Cormier · Jul 16L
vs Israel Adesanya · Feb 19L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · May 19L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Oct 20 Derek BrunsonL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 20W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 21W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 21L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anderson SilvaMetricDerek Brunson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.00evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Anderson SilvaDerek Brunson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anderson Silva(10 fights)Derek Brunson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -63.5|Blue +63.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +140.0|Blue -140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Anderson SilvaTargetDerek Brunson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Derek Brunson edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 2Derek Brunson edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:11Control
Round 3Derek Brunson edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:02Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
