Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jorge Lopez has 54pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin EdwardsL3 streak
oldest →L
vs John Maguire · Nov 11W
SUBvs Josh Neer · Oct 12L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Aug 13L
vs Ramsey Nijem · Jan 14L
SUBvs Joe Proctor · Jun 15 Jorge Lopez
oldest →L
vs Amir Sadollah · May 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justin EdwardsMetricJorge Lopez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.64evenly matched on net striking-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Justin EdwardsJorge Lopez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Edwards(7 fights)Jorge Lopez(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.3|Blue -3.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Justin EdwardsTargetJorge Lopez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Justin Edwards edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control2:09
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:57Control
Round 2Justin Edwards edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns2
Control2:06
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:14Control
Round 3Jorge Lopez edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:08
21Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
