Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hatsu Hioki has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dan Hooker has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dan Hooker (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hatsu Hioki
oldest →L
vs Ricardo Lamas · Jun 12L
vs Darren Elkins · Aug 13W
vs Ivan Menjivar · Mar 14L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 14 Dan HookerL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 22W
vs Jalin Turner · Jul 23W
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Aug 24L
SUBvs Arman Tsarukyan · Nov 25L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jan 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hatsu HiokiMetricDan Hooker
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.30evenly matched on net striking-0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Hatsu HiokiDan Hooker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hatsu Hioki(8 fights)Dan Hooker(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -129.4|Blue +129.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Hatsu HiokiTargetDan Hooker
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hatsu Hioki edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control0:58
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control1:02
Knockdowns0
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
