Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Manel Kape enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Manel Kape has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Manel Kape (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Muhammad MokaevW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Charles Johnson · Jul 22W
SUBvs Malcolm Gordon · Oct 22W
SUBvs Jafel Filho · Mar 23W
SUBvs Tim Elliott · Oct 23 Manel KapeW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Sep 23W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 24W
KOvs Asu Almabayev · Mar 25W
KOvs Brandon Royval · Dec 25W
KOvs Kyoji Horiguchi · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Muhammad MokaevMetricManel Kape
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Muhammad MokaevManel Kape
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Muhammad Mokaev(7 fights)Manel Kape(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -30.1|Blue +30.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -175.0|Blue +175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Muhammad MokaevTargetManel Kape
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Muhammad Mokaev edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2Muhammad Mokaev edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:12
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Muhammad Mokaev edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns2
Control1:59
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
