Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luana Santos has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Melissa CrodenW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Tainara Lisboa · Oct 25W
DECvs Daria Zhelezniakova · Apr 26 Luana SantosW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Stephanie Egger · Dec 23W
SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Jul 24L
vs Casey O'Neill · Aug 24W
SUBvs Tainara Lisboa · May 25W
DECvs Karol Rosa · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Melissa CrodenMetricLuana Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.14Δ 2.08 — meaningful gap+0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Melissa CrodenLuana Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Melissa Croden(3 fights)Luana Santos(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -25.9|Blue +25.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -154.0|Blue +154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Melissa CrodenTargetLuana Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Luana Santos edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:44
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:51Control
Round 2Luana Santos edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:41Control
Round 3Luana Santos edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
0Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:49Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
