Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rose Namajunas has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Zhang Weili (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rose Namajunas
oldest →W
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24W
vs Tracy Cortez · Jul 24L
vs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 24W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25L
vs Natalia Silva · Jan 26 Zhang Weili
oldest →W
SUBvs Carla Esparza · Nov 22W
vs Amanda Lemos · Aug 23W
vs Tatiana Suarez · Feb 25L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rose NamajunasMetricZhang Weili
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.12Δ 1.91 — meaningful gap+2.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rose NamajunasZhang Weili
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rose Namajunas(10 fights)Zhang Weili(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -9.7|Blue +9.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rose NamajunasTargetZhang Weili
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Zhang Weili edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:08Control
Round 2Rose Namajunas edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:31
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:38Control
Round 3Zhang Weili edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:02
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:57Control
Round 4Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control2:32
12Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:54Control
Round 5Rose Namajunas edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control3:55
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
