Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Godbeer has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Daniel Spitz has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mark Godbeer
oldest →L
SUBvs Justin Ledet · Nov 16L
SUBvs Dmitry Sosnovskiy · Mar 18 Daniel SpitzL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Anthony Hamilton · Sep 17L
KOvs Walt Harris · Jun 18L
vs Tanner Boser · Oct 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mark GodbeerMetricDaniel Spitz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.67Δ 3.37 — meaningful gap-2.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mark GodbeerDaniel Spitz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mark Godbeer(4 fights)Daniel Spitz(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +114.0|Blue -114.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mark GodbeerTargetDaniel Spitz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mark Godbeer edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:01
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Mark Godbeer edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:32
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:59Control
Round 3Mark Godbeer edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:40
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
