Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Misha Cirkunov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Misha Cirkunov threatens submissions; Krzysztof Jotko has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Krzysztof Jotko (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Misha CirkunovL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Johnny Walker · Mar 19W
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 21L
SUBvs Wellington Turman · Feb 22L
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Oct 22 Krzysztof Jotko
oldest →W
vs Alen Amedovski · Apr 19L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Misha CirkunovMetricKrzysztof Jotko
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Misha CirkunovKrzysztof Jotko
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -59.0|Blue +59.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Misha CirkunovTargetKrzysztof Jotko
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Misha Cirkunov edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control1:09
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:51
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 3Misha Cirkunov edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns5
Control2:06
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
