Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Steven Peterson has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luis Pena (53.5%).
- Luis Pena has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luis Pena
oldest →W
KOvs Matt Wiman · Jun 19L
vs Matt Frevola · Oct 19W
vs Steve Garcia · Feb 20L
SUBvs Khama Worthy · Jun 20W
vs Alexander Munoz · Apr 21 Steven PetersonL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Alex Caceres · Jul 19W
KOvs Martin Bravo · Sep 19W
vs Chase Hooper · Jun 21L
vs Julian Erosa · Feb 22L
vs Lucas Alexander · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luis PenaMetricSteven Peterson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.54Δ 1.72 — meaningful gap-1.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Luis PenaSteven Peterson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luis Pena(8 fights)Steven Peterson(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +38.1|Blue -38.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.9|Blue +1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -127.0|Blue +127.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Luis PenaTargetSteven Peterson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control2:14
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:18Control
Round 2Steven Peterson edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:22
14Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:30Control
Round 3Luis Pena edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control2:11
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:21Control
