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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Petr Yan won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1484

Elo1532

Douglas Silva de AndradevsPetr YanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Saturday, December 29, 2018Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Petr Yan won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 5:00

Style matchupDouglas Silva de Andrade: Well-roundedvsPetr Yan: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Petr Yan wins(68.1%)

Actual result: Petr Yan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Petr Yan at -350 American odds

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Petr Yan has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Petr Yan (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Douglas Silva de Andrade

Red Corner

Petr Yan

Blue Corner

+290

(26%)

Vegas Odds

-350

(78%)

1484

Elo

1532

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'7"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Douglas Silva de AndradeL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Sergey Morozov · Feb 22

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 22

vs Cody Stamann · May 23

vs Miles Johns · Jun 24

KOvs Javier Reyes · Feb 26

latest

Petr YanW4 streak

oldest →

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Mar 23

vs Song Yadong · Mar 24

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Nov 24

vs Marcus McGhee · Jul 25

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Douglas Silva de AndradeMetricPetr Yan

3.54

Strikes / min

5.16

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

4.24

56%

Strike defense

59%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

1.70

71%

Takedown defense

86%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.55Δ 1.47 — meaningful gap+0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Douglas Silva de AndradePetr Yan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Douglas Silva de Andrade(10 fights)Petr Yan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -48.1|Blue +48.1

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +224.0|Blue -224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Douglas Silva de AndradeTargetPetr Yan

By target zone

30% acc · 46%

Head

57% acc · 64%

50% acc · 36%

Body

85% acc · 30%

38% acc · 18%

Leg

80% acc · 5%

By position

35% acc · 93%

Distance

54% acc · 55%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

Ground

81% acc · 34%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Douglas Silva de Andrade rounds

even

Petr Yan rounds

Round 1Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:33Control

Round 2Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

45Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 77

Sig Strikes

76 / 118

37%

Sig Str %

63.5%

28 / 77

Total Strikes

101 / 145

0 / 1

TDs

3 / 4

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

3:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Petr Yan	31 / 56	35 / 60	2 / 2	0
1	Douglas Silva de Andrade	18 / 52	18 / 52	0 / 1	0
2	Petr Yan	45 / 62	66 / 85	1 / 2	1
2	Douglas Silva de Andrade	10 / 25	10 / 25	0 / 0	0

Douglas Silva de Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Petr Yan

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights15