Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hector Lombard enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Hector Lombard has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hector Lombard (53.5%).
- Neil Magny has a 23cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hector LombardL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Dan Henderson · Jun 16L
vs Johny Hendricks · Feb 17L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Sep 17L
vs Thales Leites · Sep 18 Neil Magny
oldest →L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hector LombardMetricNeil Magny
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.33Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Hector LombardNeil Magny
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hector Lombard(10 fights)Neil Magny(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -137.7|Blue +137.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +616.0|Blue -616.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Hector LombardTargetNeil Magny
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hector Lombard edged it
Sig. strikes50
Takedowns1
Control3:15
Knockdowns1
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Neil Magny edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control1:20
Knockdowns1
114Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:58Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Neil Magny edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:20Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
