Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Dominick Cruz has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marlon Vera (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marlon VeraL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 23L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 24L
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 24L
vs Aiemann Zahabi · Oct 25L
vs David Martinez · Feb 26 Dominick CruzW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Urijah Faber · Jun 16L
vs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 16L
KOvs Henry Cejudo · May 20W
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 21W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Dec 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marlon VeraMetricDominick Cruz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.16Δ 2.46 — meaningful gap+1.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marlon VeraDominick Cruz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marlon Vera(10 fights)Dominick Cruz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -20.9|Blue +20.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -140.0|Blue +140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marlon VeraTargetDominick Cruz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dominick Cruz edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
21Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:49Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Dominick Cruz edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Dominick Cruz edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:02
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
Round 4Marlon Vera edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns2
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
