Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rose Namajunas has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rose Namajunas has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rose Namajunas
oldest →W
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24W
vs Tracy Cortez · Jul 24L
vs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 24W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25L
vs Natalia Silva · Jan 26 Paige VanZant
oldest →W
KOvs Bec Rawlings · Aug 16L
SUBvs Michelle Waterson · Dec 16L
vs Jessica-Rose Clark · Jan 18W
SUBvs Rachael Ostovich · Jan 19L
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jul 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rose NamajunasMetricPaige VanZant
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.12evenly matched on net striking+0.73
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rose NamajunasPaige VanZant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rose Namajunas(10 fights)Paige VanZant(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +6.5|Blue -6.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rose NamajunasTargetPaige VanZant
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rose Namajunas edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns2
Control3:09
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Rose Namajunas edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control3:37
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 3Rose Namajunas edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns2
Control3:19
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 4Rose Namajunas edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control4:24
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 5Rose Namajunas edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control2:11
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
