Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Melquizael Costa (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Andre FiliL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25L
vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26L
KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26 Melquizael Costa
oldest →W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Mar 25W
vs Julian Erosa · May 25W
KOvs Morgan Charriere · Dec 25L
DECvs Arnold Allen · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Andre FiliMetricMelquizael Costa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.46Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap+1.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Andre FiliMelquizael Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Andre Fili(10 fights)Melquizael Costa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -84.3|Blue +84.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Andre FiliTargetMelquizael Costa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Melquizael Costa edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control0:24
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
