Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Raoni Barcelos has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raoni BarcelosW5 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24W
vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25W
vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25W
DECvs Montel Jackson · Apr 26 Said NurmagomedovL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Saidyokub Kakhramonov · Dec 22L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Mar 23W
SUBvs Muin Gafurov · Oct 23L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 25L
vs Bryce Mitchell · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raoni BarcelosMetricSaid Nurmagomedov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.41evenly matched on net striking+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raoni BarcelosSaid Nurmagomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)Said Nurmagomedov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +56.9|Blue -56.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -98.0|Blue +98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raoni BarcelosTargetSaid Nurmagomedov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Said Nurmagomedov rounds
Round 1Said Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:42
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Raoni Barcelos edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control1:55
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
