Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Denise Gomes enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Tecia Pennington has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tecia PenningtonW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Tabatha Ricci · May 24W
vs Carla Esparza · Oct 24W
vs Luana Pinheiro · May 25 Denise GomesW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Yazmin Jauregui · Jul 23W
vs Eduarda Moura · Jun 24W
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Nov 24W
KOvs Elise Reed · May 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tecia PenningtonMetricDenise Gomes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.25evenly matched on net striking+1.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tecia PenningtonDenise Gomes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tecia Pennington(4 fights)Denise Gomes(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -40.4|Blue +40.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tecia PenningtonTargetDenise Gomes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Denise Gomes edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:08
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 2Tecia Pennington edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 3Denise Gomes edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control0:24
9Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:35Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
