Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ion Cutelaba (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ion Cutelaba
oldest →L
vs Philipe Lins · Mar 24W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25L
KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26 Ivan Erslan
oldest →L
vs Navajo Stirling · May 25L
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 25W
DECvs Tuco Tokkos · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ion CutelabaMetricIvan Erslan
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.95Δ 3.41 — meaningful gap-2.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ion CutelabaIvan Erslan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)Ivan Erslan(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +13.0|Blue -13.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ion CutelabaTargetIvan Erslan
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ivan Erslan edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:25
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Ion Cutelaba edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns2
Control1:07
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:26Control
Round 3Ivan Erslan edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:27
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:53Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
