Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Dos Santos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Junior Dos Santos has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Junior Dos Santos is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Derrick Lewis has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Junior Dos Santos has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Junior Dos Santos has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick LewisL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26L
KOvs Josh Hokit · Jun 26 Junior Dos SantosL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 18L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jun 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Jan 20L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 20L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricJunior Dos Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.11Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap+1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Derrick LewisJunior Dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +88.8|Blue -88.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Derrick LewisTargetJunior Dos Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Junior Dos Santos rounds
Round 1Junior Dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Junior Dos Santos edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns0
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
