Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Van enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Joshua Van has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joshua Van has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joshua VanW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 25W
vs Brandon Royval · Jun 25W
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 25W
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · May 26 Rei TsuruyaW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Carlos Hernandez · Jun 24W
SUBvs Luis Gurule · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joshua VanMetricRei Tsuruya
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.61Δ 2.38 — meaningful gap+0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joshua VanRei Tsuruya
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joshua Van(10 fights)Rei Tsuruya(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +79.9|Blue -79.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -161.0|Blue +161.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joshua VanTargetRei Tsuruya
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:06
6Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:49Control
Round 2Joshua Van edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:25
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:24Control
Round 3Joshua Van edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:19
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:36Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
