Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Irene Aldana has 49pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Talita Bernardo
oldest →L
KOvs Marion Reneau · Sep 17L
KOvs Viviane Araujo · May 19 Irene Aldana
oldest →W
KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Jul 21W
KOvs Macy Chiasson · Sep 22L
vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 23L
vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Talita BernardoMetricIrene Aldana
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.92evenly matched on net striking-1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Talita BernardoIrene Aldana
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Talita Bernardo(4 fights)Irene Aldana(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -7.4|Blue +7.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -3.4|Blue +3.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -147.0|Blue +147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Talita BernardoTargetIrene Aldana
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Irene Aldana edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control1:38
28Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:51Control
Round 2Talita Bernardo edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control3:39
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Irene Aldana edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:42
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
