Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- TJ Grant enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Gray Maynard has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gray Maynard has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gray Maynard
oldest →L
vs Alexander Yakovlev · Apr 15W
vs Fernando Bruno · Jul 16W
vs Teruto Ishihara · Jul 17 TJ GrantW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Ricardo Almeida · Dec 10W
SUBvs Shane Roller · Oct 11W
vs Carlo Prater · May 12W
KOvs Matt Wiman · Jan 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gray MaynardMetricTJ Grant
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.72Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap+0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gray MaynardTJ Grant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gray Maynard(10 fights)TJ Grant(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +218.0|Blue -218.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gray MaynardTargetTJ Grant
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1TJ Grant edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
3Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
