Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Andrea Lee enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Andrea Lee has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Andrea Lee has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Roxanne ModafferiL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Maycee Barber · Jan 20L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jun 20L
vs Viviane Araujo · Jan 21L
vs Taila Santos · Sep 21L
vs Casey O'Neill · Feb 22 Andrea LeeL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Maycee Barber · Mar 23L
vs Natalia Silva · Aug 23L
vs Miranda Maverick · Feb 24L
vs Montana De La Rosa · Jun 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Roxanne ModafferiMetricAndrea Lee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.35Δ 3.06 — meaningful gap+0.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Roxanne ModafferiAndrea Lee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Roxanne Modafferi(10 fights)Andrea Lee(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -59.2|Blue +59.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -133.0|Blue +133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Roxanne ModafferiTargetAndrea Lee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Roxanne Modafferi rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control2:12
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:20Control
Round 2Andrea Lee edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns1
Control0:28
55Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns2
Control2:09
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
