Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jafel Filho threatens submissions; Clayton Carpenter has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Clayton Carpenter threatens submissions; Jafel Filho has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jafel FilhoL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Mar 23W
SUBvs Daniel Barez · Jul 23W
SUBvs Ode Osbourne · Mar 24L
vs Allan Nascimento · May 25L
DECvs Cody Durden · Apr 26 Clayton CarpenterL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Juancamilo Ronderos · Feb 23W
SUBvs Lucas Rocha · Oct 24L
vs Tagir Ulanbekov · Jan 25L
DECvs Jose Ochoa · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jafel FilhoMetricClayton Carpenter
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.02evenly matched on net striking-0.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jafel FilhoClayton Carpenter
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jafel Filho(6 fights)Clayton Carpenter(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +45.2|Blue -45.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -133.0|Blue +133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jafel FilhoTargetClayton Carpenter
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Clayton Carpenter rounds
Round 1Jafel Filho edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control2:23
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
