Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brian Stann enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alessio Sakara enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brian StannL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Chris Leben · Jan 11W
KOvs Jorge Santiago · May 11L
SUBvs Chael Sonnen · Oct 11L
vs Michael Bisping · Sep 12L
KOvs Wanderlei Silva · Mar 13 Alessio SakaraL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs James Irvin · Mar 10L
vs Chris Weidman · Mar 11L
vs Patrick Cote · Nov 12L
SUBvs Nico Musoke · Oct 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brian StannMetricAlessio Sakara
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.63evenly matched on net striking+1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brian StannAlessio Sakara
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brian Stann(7 fights)Alessio Sakara(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -219.0|Blue +219.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brian StannTargetAlessio Sakara
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brian Stann edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control1:17
Knockdowns1
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
