Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Martinez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Said NurmagomedovL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Jul 22W
SUBvs Saidyokub Kakhramonov · Dec 22W
SUBvs Muin Gafurov · Oct 23L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 25L
vs Bryce Mitchell · Jul 25 Jonathan MartinezL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Vince Morales · May 22W
KOvs Cub Swanson · Oct 22W
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Oct 23L
vs Marcus McGhee · Nov 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Said NurmagomedovMetricJonathan Martinez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03evenly matched on net striking+0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Said NurmagomedovJonathan Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Said Nurmagomedov(10 fights)Jonathan Martinez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -10.8|Blue +10.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Said NurmagomedovTargetJonathan Martinez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Said Nurmagomedov rounds
0
Jonathan Martinez rounds
Round 1Said Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control0:59
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:04Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:46
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:16Control
Round 3Said Nurmagomedov edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control2:36
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:49Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
