Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ikram Aliskerov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ikram Aliskerov has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ikram Aliskerov (53.5%).
- Ikram Aliskerov has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ikram AliskerovW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Phil Hawes · May 23L
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jun 24W
KOvs Andre Muniz · Apr 25W
vs JunYong Park · Oct 25W
DECvs Brunno Ferreira · Jun 26 Warlley AlvesL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Nov 19W
KOvs Mounir Lazzez · Jan 21L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ikram AliskerovMetricWarlley Alves
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.39Δ 2.30 — meaningful gap-0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ikram AliskerovWarlley Alves
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ikram Aliskerov(6 fights)Warlley Alves(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +57.1|Blue -57.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -105.0|Blue +105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ikram AliskerovTargetWarlley Alves
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ikram Aliskerov edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
