UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Saturday, July 18, 2026Oklahoma City, USA
Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Pre-fight pick: Alden Coria
If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick
+$9 profit
$109 total returned
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
| Round | Fighter | Sig Str | Total Str | TD | Sub |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stewart Nicoll | 9 / 39 | 10 / 40 | 3 / 4 | 0 |
| 1 | Alden Coria | 14 / 39 | 15 / 40 | 0 / 1 | 0 |
| 2 | Stewart Nicoll | 13 / 28 | 13 / 28 | 1 / 3 | 0 |
| 2 | Alden Coria | 14 / 34 | 23 / 44 | 1 / 1 | 1 |
| 3 | Stewart Nicoll | 6 / 23 | 9 / 26 | 1 / 2 | 0 |
| 3 | Alden Coria | 16 / 54 | 22 / 60 | 2 / 3 | 3 |
Market-implied probability
Alden Coria 88%
Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.
$100 bet returns
88% market-implied · model 68% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638
🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC at -1104 · never rewritten
