Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raul Rosas Jr. enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Raul Rosas Jr. has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Raul Rosas Jr. has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Raul Rosas Jr. (52.9%).
- Terrence Mitchell has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raul Rosas Jr.W4 streak
oldest →L
vs Christian Rodriguez · Apr 23W
SUBvs Ricky Turcios · Jun 24W
vs Vince Morales · Mar 25 Terrence Mitchell
oldest →L
KOvs Cameron Saaiman · Jul 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raul Rosas Jr.MetricTerrence Mitchell
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.10Δ 6.74 — meaningful gap-6.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raul Rosas Jr.Terrence Mitchell
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raul Rosas Jr.(7 fights)Terrence Mitchell(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +71.9|Blue -71.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raul Rosas Jr.TargetTerrence Mitchell
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Terrence Mitchell rounds
Round 1Raul Rosas Jr. edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:17
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
