Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joel Alvarez is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Danilo Belluardo has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Joel Alvarez has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Danilo Belluardo (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joel Alvarez
oldest →W
SUBvs Marc Diakiese · Jul 23W
KOvs Elves Brener · Aug 24W
KOvs Drakkar Klose · Dec 24W
vs Vicente Luque · Oct 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · May 26 Danilo Belluardo
oldest →L
KOvs Mark Madsen · Sep 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joel AlvarezMetricDanilo Belluardo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.50Δ 4.77 — meaningful gap-3.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joel AlvarezDanilo Belluardo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joel Alvarez(10 fights)Danilo Belluardo(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +137.2|Blue -137.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joel AlvarezTargetDanilo Belluardo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Danilo Belluardo edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:58Control
Round 2Joel Alvarez edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:17
2Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:24Control
