Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Breese (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Omari AkhmedovL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Zak Cummings · Sep 19W
vs Ian Heinisch · Dec 19L
DECvs Chris Weidman · Aug 20L
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 21 Tom Breese
oldest →W
vs Keita Nakamura · Feb 16L
vs Sean Strickland · Jun 16W
KOvs Daniel Kelly · May 18L
KOvs Brendan Allen · Feb 20W
KOvs KB Bhullar · Oct 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Omari AkhmedovMetricTom Breese
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Omari AkhmedovTom Breese
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Omari Akhmedov(10 fights)Tom Breese(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +63.0|Blue -63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Omari AkhmedovTargetTom Breese
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Omari Akhmedov edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns2
Control3:32
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:00Control
Round 2Omari Akhmedov edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control1:02
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
