Skip to content
Flyweight
3 Rounds
Kleydson Rodrigues won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1479
Shannon Ross
Elo1492

Shannon RossvsKleydson RodriguesUFC Prediction Result

UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · Saturday, February 11, 2023Perth, Western Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Kleydson Rodrigues won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:59

Model Prediction: Kleydson Rodrigues wins(52.0%)

Actual result: Kleydson Rodrigues wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kleydson Rodrigues at -350 American odds

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kleydson Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Kleydson Rodrigues is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Shannon Ross has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Shannon Ross has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Shannon Ross (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Shannon Ross
Red Corner
VS
Kleydson Rodrigues
Blue Corner
+290
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-350
(78%)
1479
Elo
1492
37
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Shannon RossL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Jesus Aguilar · Jul 23
L
KOvs HyunSung Park · Dec 23
latest
Kleydson RodriguesL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs CJ Vergara · May 22
L
SUBvs Farid Basharat · Sep 23
L
vs Alatengheili · May 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Shannon RossMetricKleydson Rodrigues
5.96
Strikes / min
4.58
7.39
Strikes absorbed / min
2.29
55%
Strike defense
53%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.60
100%
Takedown defense
53%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.43Δ 3.72 — meaningful gap+2.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1483Strikes6.0 vs 4.6Takedowns0.0 vs 0.6Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.60Form0.0 vs -1.0
Shannon RossKleydson Rodrigues

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Shannon Ross(3 fights)Kleydson Rodrigues(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -13.0|Blue +13.0
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Grappler Score
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Shannon RossTargetKleydson Rodrigues

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
8
50% acc · 57%
0
Body
3
100% acc · 21%
1
33% acc · 100%
Leg
3
100% acc · 21%

By position

1
25% acc · 100%
Distance
9
64% acc · 64%
0
Clinch
5
71% acc · 36%
0
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Shannon Ross rounds
0
even
1
Kleydson Rodrigues rounds
Round 1Kleydson Rodrigues edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
1 / 4
Sig Strikes
14 / 22
25%
Sig Str %
63%
1 / 4
Total Strikes
16 / 24
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Kleydson Rodrigues14 / 2216 / 240 / 00
1Shannon Ross1 / 41 / 40 / 00

Shannon Ross

StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights3

Kleydson Rodrigues

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4