Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Stewart enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karl Roberson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Darren Stewart has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Karl Roberson (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren StewartL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Maki Pitolo · Aug 20L
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 20L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 21 Karl RobersonL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Nov 19L
SUBvs Marvin Vettori · Jun 20L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Apr 21L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Mar 22L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren StewartMetricKarl Roberson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.24evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Darren StewartKarl Roberson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Stewart(10 fights)Karl Roberson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -21.9|Blue +21.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.3|Blue +49.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Darren StewartTargetKarl Roberson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Karl Roberson edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:34
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:14Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
