Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vitor Belfort enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nate Marquardt is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Vitor Belfort has lost 83% of fights by KO.
- Nate Marquardt has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Vitor Belfort (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vitor BelfortL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Chris Weidman · May 15W
KOvs Dan Henderson · Nov 15L
KOvs Jacare Souza · May 16L
KOvs Gegard Mousasi · Oct 16L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · May 18 Nate MarquardtL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs CB Dollaway · Dec 15L
KOvs Thiago Santos · May 16W
KOvs Tamdan McCrory · Oct 16L
vs Cezar Ferreira · Nov 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vitor BelfortMetricNate Marquardt
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.24Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap+0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Vitor BelfortNate Marquardt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vitor Belfort(10 fights)Nate Marquardt(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +128.5|Blue -128.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +112.0|Blue -112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Vitor BelfortTargetNate Marquardt
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nate Marquardt edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:03Control
Round 2Nate Marquardt edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Nate Marquardt edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
