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Women's Featherweight

3 Rounds

Holly Holm won · U-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1493

Holly HolmvsMegan AndersonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · Saturday, June 9, 2018Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Holly Holm won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Holly Holm wins(67.5%)

Actual result: Holly Holm wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Holly Holm at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Holly Holm has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Holly Holm has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Holly Holm

Red Corner

Megan Anderson

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1497

Elo

1493

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

6'0"

175.26 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Holly Holm

oldest →

vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20

vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20

vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22

vs Yana Santos · Mar 23

SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24

latest

Megan Anderson

oldest →

KOvs Cat Zingano · Dec 18

SUBvs Felicia Spencer · May 19

SUBvs Zarah Fairn · Oct 19

KOvs Norma Dumont · Feb 20

SUBvs Amanda Nunes · Mar 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Holly HolmMetricMegan Anderson

3.13

Strikes / min

1.76

2.92

Strikes absorbed / min

3.35

55%

Strike defense

37%

0.87

TDs / 15 min

0.52

76%

Takedown defense

53%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.21Δ 1.80 — meaningful gap-1.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Holly HolmMegan Anderson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Holly Holm(10 fights)Megan Anderson(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.2|Blue -4.2

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -47.2|Blue +47.2

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Holly HolmTargetMegan Anderson

By target zone

57% acc · 57%

Head

36% acc · 58%

86% acc · 26%

Body

69% acc · 42%

80% acc · 17%

Leg

By position

54% acc · 40%

Distance

40% acc · 73%

80% acc · 17%

Clinch

70% acc · 27%

77% acc · 43%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Holly Holm rounds

even

Megan Anderson rounds

Round 1Holly Holm edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control3:33

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Holly Holm edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns1

Control3:39

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Holly Holm edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns2

Control3:32

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 71

Sig Strikes

26 / 58

67%

Sig Str %

44.7%

143 / 176

Total Strikes

48 / 81

4 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

10:44

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Megan Anderson	15 / 31	21 / 38	0 / 0	0
1	Holly Holm	12 / 17	35 / 42	1 / 2	0
2	Megan Anderson	7 / 19	16 / 28	0 / 0	0
2	Holly Holm	18 / 31	57 / 74	1 / 2	0
3	Megan Anderson	4 / 8	11 / 15	0 / 0	0
3	Holly Holm	17 / 23	51 / 60	2 / 4	1

Holly Holm

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights15

Megan Anderson

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights6