Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vladimir Matyushenko is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Ryan Bader has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Ryan Bader has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan BaderW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Rashad Evans · Oct 15L
KOvs Anthony Johnson · Jan 16W
KOvs Ilir Latifi · Sep 16W
KOvs Rogerio Nogueira · Nov 16 Vladimir Matyushenko
oldest →W
vs Eliot Marshall · Mar 10W
KOvs Alexandre Ferreira · Nov 10W
KOvs Jason Brilz · Apr 11L
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Dec 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan BaderMetricVladimir Matyushenko
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.43Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap+0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ryan BaderVladimir Matyushenko
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Bader(10 fights)Vladimir Matyushenko(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.8|Blue -138.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -218.0|Blue +218.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ryan BaderTargetVladimir Matyushenko
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Vladimir Matyushenko rounds
Round 1Ryan Bader edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:06
Knockdowns1
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
