Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karl Williams enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Karl Williams has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jhonata Diniz
oldest →W
KOvs Austen Lane · Apr 24L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Nov 24L
KOvs Mario Pinto · Oct 25 Karl WilliamsW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Lukasz Brzeski · Mar 23W
vs Chase Sherman · May 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jhonata DinizMetricKarl Williams
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jhonata DinizKarl Williams
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jhonata Diniz(5 fights)Karl Williams(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.3|Blue +3.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jhonata DinizTargetKarl Williams
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jhonata Diniz edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Jhonata Diniz edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Karl Williams edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:36Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
