Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paul Craig enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Johnny Walker is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Paul Craig has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Johnny Walker has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Johnny Walker has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paul CraigL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Nov 23L
KOvs Caio Borralho · May 24L
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Jun 25L
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Sep 25 Johnny Walker
oldest →W
vs Anthony Smith · May 23L
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Jan 24L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jun 24W
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Aug 25L
DECvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paul CraigMetricJohnny Walker
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.54Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Paul CraigJohnny Walker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paul Craig(10 fights)Johnny Walker(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -21.8|Blue +21.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Paul CraigTargetJohnny Walker
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Johnny Walker edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
