Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Blagoy Ivanov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Blagoy Ivanov (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Blagoy IvanovL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Derrick Lewis · Nov 19L
vs Augusto Sakai · May 20L
vs Marcin Tybura · Feb 23L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Jul 23 latest Marcos Rogerio de Lima
oldest →W
KOvs Ben Rothwell · Nov 21W
SUBvs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 22W
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Apr 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23W
KOvs Junior Tafa · Feb 24 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Blagoy IvanovMetricMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.95Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Blagoy IvanovMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Blagoy Ivanov(8 fights)Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -39.5|Blue +39.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +532.0|Blue -532.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Blagoy IvanovTargetMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Marcos Rogerio de Lima rounds
Round 1Marcos Rogerio de Lima edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:32
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Blagoy Ivanov edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control2:09
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control1:11
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:47Control