Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Russow is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Fabricio Werdum has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Fabricio Werdum has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Fabricio Werdum has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Fabricio Werdum
oldest →W
SUBvs Walt Harris · Oct 17W
vs Marcin Tybura · Nov 17L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Mar 18L
vs Aleksei Oleinik · May 20W
SUBvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jul 20 Mike Russow
oldest →W
KOvs Todd Duffee · May 10W
KOvs Jon Madsen · Mar 11W
vs Jon Olav Einemo · Jan 12L
KOvs Shawn Jordan · Jan 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Fabricio WerdumMetricMike Russow
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.95Δ 2.30 — meaningful gap-1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Fabricio WerdumMike Russow
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Fabricio Werdum(10 fights)Mike Russow(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +140.7|Blue -140.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -7.0|Blue +7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Fabricio WerdumTargetMike Russow
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Fabricio Werdum edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:12
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
