Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Burkman enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- KJ Noons has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joshua BurkmanL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Michel Prazeres · Mar 17L
KOvs Drew Dober · Jul 17L
SUBvs Alex Morono · Feb 18 KJ Noons
oldest →L
vs Donald Cerrone · May 13W
vs George Sotiropoulos · Oct 13L
SUBvs Alex Oliveira · May 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joshua BurkmanMetricKJ Noons
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44evenly matched on net striking-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joshua BurkmanKJ Noons
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joshua Burkman(8 fights)KJ Noons(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.7|Blue -7.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -85.0|Blue +85.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joshua BurkmanTargetKJ Noons
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joshua Burkman edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Joshua Burkman edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control0:27
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Joshua Burkman edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control2:37
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
