Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Claudio Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Leon Edwards has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Claudio SilvaL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Danny Roberts · Mar 19W
SUBvs Cole Williams · Aug 19L
vs James Krause · Oct 20L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jul 22 Leon EdwardsL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 23W
vs Colby Covington · Dec 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 24L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Mar 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Claudio SilvaMetricLeon Edwards
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.52evenly matched on net striking+0.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Claudio SilvaLeon Edwards
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Claudio Silva(8 fights)Leon Edwards(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Claudio SilvaTargetLeon Edwards
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control1:51
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:11Control
Round 2Claudio Silva edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control1:21
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 3Claudio Silva edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control3:57
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
