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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Gleison Tibau won · S-DEC R3

Elo1366

Elo1356

Gleison TibauvsPiotr HallmannUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · Saturday, September 13, 2014Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil

Official fight result

Gleison Tibau won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupGleison Tibau: WrestlervsPiotr Hallmann: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Piotr Hallmann wins(57.3%)

Actual result: Gleison Tibau wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Piotr Hallmann at +215 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gleison Tibau enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Gleison Tibau has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Gleison Tibau (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Gleison Tibau

Red Corner

Piotr Hallmann

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+215

(32%)

1366

Elo

1356

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gleison TibauL4 streak

oldest →

vs Norman Parke · Jan 15

SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Feb 15

vs Abel Trujillo · Nov 15

KOvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 18

vs Desmond Green · Jun 18

latest

Piotr HallmannL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Francisco Trinaldo · Sep 13

vs Al Iaquinta · Oct 13

SUBvs Yves Edwards · Jun 14

KOvs Magomed Mustafaev · Jun 15

KOvs Alex Oliveira · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gleison TibauMetricPiotr Hallmann

1.95

Strikes / min

3.98

2.51

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

63%

Strike defense

58%

4.08

TDs / 15 min

2.55

92%

Takedown defense

70%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.56Δ 1.37 — meaningful gap+0.81

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gleison TibauPiotr Hallmann

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gleison Tibau(10 fights)Piotr Hallmann(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.0|Blue -10.0

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -39.0|Blue +39.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gleison TibauTargetPiotr Hallmann

By target zone

36% acc · 73%

Head

23% acc · 21%

44% acc · 13%

Body

61% acc · 54%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

68% acc · 25%

By position

33% acc · 67%

Distance

37% acc · 44%

71% acc · 33%

Clinch

57% acc · 56%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gleison Tibau rounds

even

Piotr Hallmann rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns2

Control1:25

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Gleison Tibau edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control2:15

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:32Control

Round 3Piotr Hallmann edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns2

Control2:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:02Control

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 74

Sig Strikes

52 / 113

41%

Sig Str %

45.3%

41 / 89

Total Strikes

86 / 148

5 / 11

TDs

0 / 0

47%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:40

Ctrl Time

1:38

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Piotr Hallmann	22 / 44	28 / 50	0 / 0
1	Gleison Tibau	13 / 38	19 / 45	2 / 3
2	Piotr Hallmann	13 / 29	28 / 45	0 / 0
2	Gleison Tibau	12 / 22	15 / 27	1 / 4
3	Piotr Hallmann	17 / 40	30 / 53	0 / 0
3	Gleison Tibau	5 / 14	7 / 17	2 / 4

Gleison Tibau

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights18

Piotr Hallmann

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6