Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hacran Dias has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hacran DiasL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Ricardo Lamas · Jun 14W
vs Darren Elkins · Dec 14W
vs Levan Makashvili · Jun 15 Jared GordonL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Mark Madsen · Nov 23L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Jun 24W
KOvs Thiago Moises · May 25L
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Sep 25L
SUBvs Jim Miller · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hacran DiasMetricJared Gordon
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.23Δ 2.69 — meaningful gap+1.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Hacran DiasJared Gordon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hacran Dias(8 fights)Jared Gordon(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -120.2|Blue +120.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +267.0|Blue -267.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Hacran DiasTargetJared Gordon
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hacran Dias edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:33Control
Round 2Jared Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:30
56Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:37Control
Round 3Jared Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:07
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:54Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
