Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nate Quarry has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nate QuarryNo prior UFC fights on record.
Jorge Rivera
oldest →L
KOvs Michael Bisping · Feb 11L
DECvs Costas Philippou · Aug 11W
KOvs Eric Schafer · Jan 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nate QuarryMetricJorge Rivera
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.16Δ 1.64 — meaningful gap+0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nate QuarryJorge Rivera
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nate Quarry(1 fights)Jorge Rivera(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nate QuarryTargetJorge Rivera
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jorge Rivera edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:24Control
2Knockdowns
Round 2Jorge Rivera edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
