Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Nordine Taleb has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Warlley AlvesL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Mounir Lazzez · Jan 21L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24 Nordine Taleb
oldest →W
KOvs Danny Roberts · Dec 17L
SUBvs Claudio Silva · May 18L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Oct 18W
vs Kyle Prepolec · May 19L
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Sep 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Warlley AlvesMetricNordine Taleb
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.91Δ 1.95 — meaningful gap+1.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Warlley AlvesNordine Taleb
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Warlley Alves(10 fights)Nordine Taleb(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.5|Blue +2.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +168.0|Blue -168.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Warlley AlvesTargetNordine Taleb
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Warlley Alves edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:38
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 2Warlley Alves edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control2:40
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:29Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
