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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Magomed Tuchalov won · Decision R3

Elo1521

Elo1440

Magomed TuchalovvsBrendson RibeiroUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · Saturday, July 25, 2026Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Magomed Tuchalov won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Magomed Tuchalov

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Magomed Tuchalov at -614 American odds · hypothetical only

+$16 profit

$116 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Magomed Tuchalov

Red Corner

Brendson Ribeiro

Blue Corner

-925

(90%)

Vegas Odds

+599

(14%)

1521

Elo

1440

N/A

Age

N/A

Stance

Orthodox

N/A

Height

6'3"

N/A

Reach

205.74 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Magomed TuchalovNo prior UFC fights on record.

Brendson RibeiroL3 streak

oldest →

vs Caio Machado · Nov 24

SUBvs Diyar Nurgozhay · Mar 25

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Jun 25

KOvs Oumar Sy · Sep 25

SUBvs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Magomed TuchalovMetricBrendson Ribeiro

—

Strikes / min

3.04

—

Strikes absorbed / min

3.91

—

Strike defense

53%

—

TDs / 15 min

0.85

—

Takedown defense

21%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Magomed Tuchalov(1 fights)Brendson Ribeiro(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +81.1|Blue -81.1

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Magomed TuchalovTargetBrendson Ribeiro

By target zone

26% acc · 34%

Head

25% acc · 46%

36% acc · 14%

Body

36% acc · 10%

90% acc · 51%

Leg

50% acc · 44%

By position

44% acc · 97%

Distance

32% acc · 95%

Clinch

33% acc · 3%

Ground

67% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Magomed Tuchalov rounds

even

Brendson Ribeiro rounds

Round 1Brendson Ribeiro edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Magomed Tuchalov edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns2

Control0:44

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Magomed Tuchalov edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns6

Control3:36

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

35 / 80

Sig Strikes

39 / 118

40%

Sig Str %

36%

57 / 110

Total Strikes

49 / 130

8 / 14

TDs

0 / 1

42.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:20

Ctrl Time

0:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brendson Ribeiro	18 / 51	18 / 51	0 / 0	0
1	Magomed Tuchalov	9 / 23	9 / 23	0 / 1	0
2	Brendson Ribeiro	13 / 50	14 / 51	0 / 0	0
2	Magomed Tuchalov	22 / 45	24 / 47	2 / 7	0
3	Brendson Ribeiro	8 / 17	17 / 28	0 / 1	0
3	Magomed Tuchalov	4 / 12	24 / 40	6 / 6	1

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Magomed Tuchalov

Odds

-614

Market-implied probability

Magomed Tuchalov 82%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Magomed Tuchalov (model pick · research)$116

Brendson Ribeiro$525

82% market-implied · model 58% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC at -614 · never rewritten

Magomed Tuchalov

Stance—

Height—

Reach—

Fights1

Brendson Ribeiro

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights8