Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ulysses Gomez has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- John Moraga has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Moraga
oldest →L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jan 17W
vs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Jun 17W
KOvs Magomed Bibulatov · Oct 17L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John MoragaMetricUlysses Gomez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.02evenly matched on net striking-0.85
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Moraga(10 fights)Ulysses Gomez(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +139.2|Blue -139.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John MoragaTargetUlysses Gomez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Moraga edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:21
Knockdowns1
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
