Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Magomed Bibulatov has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Moraga
oldest →L
DECvs Matheus Nicolau · Jul 16L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jan 17W
vs Ashkan Mokhtarian · Jun 17L
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Aug 18 Magomed Bibulatov
oldest →L
vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John MoragaMetricMagomed Bibulatov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.02Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap+1.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John MoragaMagomed Bibulatov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Moraga(10 fights)Magomed Bibulatov(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +120.7|Blue -120.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John MoragaTargetMagomed Bibulatov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Magomed Bibulatov rounds
Round 1John Moraga edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
