Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bart PalaszewskiL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Tyson Griffin · Oct 11L
SUBvs Cole Miller · Apr 13 Diego NunesL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Kenny Florian · Jun 11W
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Dec 11L
vs Dennis Siver · Apr 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bart PalaszewskiMetricDiego Nunes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.30Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bart PalaszewskiDiego Nunes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bart Palaszewski(4 fights)Diego Nunes(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -138.1|Blue +138.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bart PalaszewskiTargetDiego Nunes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Diego Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:17Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Diego Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:12
15Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:20Control
Round 3Diego Nunes edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns0
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
