Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Riddell enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad RiddellL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Magomed Mustafaev · Feb 20L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Dec 21L
SUBvs Jalin Turner · Jul 22L
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Nov 22 Alex Da Silva
oldest →L
SUBvs Alexander Yakovlev · Apr 19W
vs Kazula Vargas · Aug 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad RiddellMetricAlex Da Silva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.18Δ 1.56 — meaningful gap-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brad RiddellAlex Da Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Riddell(7 fights)Alex Da Silva(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.5|Blue -14.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -196.0|Blue +196.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brad RiddellTargetAlex Da Silva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alex Da Silva edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:18
13Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
3:22Control
Round 2Brad Riddell edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns1
Control0:29
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:15Control
Round 3Brad Riddell edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:37
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:40Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
